United Arab Emirates
ARE
United Arab Emirates: 9.9 million population; high-income economy. Exports: crude oil, petroleum products, gold; imports: machinery, vehicles, chemicals. Federal absolute monarchy under Emir Mashal Al-. #45 Big Mac Index.
Headline valuation
Scenario range
$8.01T – $10.54T
Integration scenario
Contested Integration
Balance sheet
Total liabilities
$750.5B
Base enterprise value
$10.40T
Creditor concentration
- High creditor concentration (HHI=0.68)
Climate & resources
Climate status
Vulnerable (Rank 162 of 212, 1 = most desperate)
ND-GAIN vulnerability
0.47
Top acquisition targets (United Arab Emirates as buyer)
Computed by SAPA (Sovereign Acquisition Propensity Algorithm). Higher probability = stronger structural fit for United Arab Emirates acquiring this target.
- Oman (OMN): probability 0.26, deal value $170.1B, driver: Financial_Opportunity
- Kuwait (KWT): probability 0.19, deal value $981.9B, driver: Strategic + Resources + US_Security_Partner
- Turkmenistan (TKM): probability 0.18, deal value $69.5B, driver: Financial_Opportunity
- Qatar (QAT): probability 0.18, deal value $1.14T, driver: Strategic + Resources + US_Security_Partner
- Jordan (JOR): probability 0.15, deal value $90.8B, driver: Financial_Opportunity
About this valuation
This valuation is computed monthly by the WHITEFLAG sovereign asset valuation framework — a five-scenario rigorous model
that prices nations as transferable enterprise units. See the
full methodology for the formulas and data sources.
Sources: CIA World Factbook, World Bank (population, poverty, economic data), IMF World Economic Outlook (economic classification, trade), The Economist Big Mac Index (PPP comparison), Trading Economics (macroeconomic indicators), Official Government Statistical Agencies