Multi-source intelligence combining GDELT conflict monitoring, Polymarket prediction markets, and military asset tracking.
GDELT monitors global news in real-time, tracking conflict-related events across 250+ sources. We query 5 thematic categories (war/military, sanctions, coups/protests, territorial disputes, nuclear/arms) and attribute articles to countries via entity recognition. Severity levels (CRITICAL, HIGH, ELEVATED, WATCH) are based on 24-hour article volume. Data refreshes hourly from the Cloudflare edge.
Polymarket coverage reflects the degree to which a country's political trajectory features contested outcomes that sophisticated bettors believe have material financial implications. Higher attention doesn't necessarily mean instability; it means uncertainty about outcomes that matter to global capital markets. Coverage is geographically uneven.
DeepSeek generates a one-sentence intelligence brief per country every 30 minutes, combining Polymarket questions, probabilities, and GDELT conflict headlines. Style follows RANE briefs: direct, specific, naming actors and probabilities where available.
Unfiltered military aircraft positions aggregated from adsb.lol, airplanes.live, and adsb.one — community ADS-B networks that retain military and government transponders hidden by commercial trackers. Updated daily.
AIS positions from aisstream.io filtered for military vessels across 8 key maritime regions. Carrier strike group and amphibious ready group positions from USNI Fleet Tracker, published weekly.
Active TFRs from FAA GeoServer filtered for security, space operations, VIP movements, and military base restrictions. TFR density indicates elevated operational tempo.