Multi-source intelligence combining GDELT conflict monitoring, Polymarket prediction markets, global financial market data, and military asset tracking across 200+ countries.
This page aggregates four real-time data feeds into a single country-level intelligence table. Conflict Activity tracks media coverage of wars, sanctions, coups, and territorial disputes via GDELT. Polymarket Attention shows where prediction-market bettors see contested political outcomes. Market Data captures daily equity index and currency moves from 67 stock exchanges and 150+ currencies. Financial Stress is an IMF-style composite score: when a country's equity index drops, its currency depreciates, and its key commodity exports fall — all at the same time — the score rises. Values above 1.0 signal unusual stress; above 2.0 is a potential crisis. The score is comparable across countries regardless of data availability. Intel summaries synthesize all feeds into a single analytical sentence per country, generated twice daily.
GDELT monitors global news in real-time, tracking conflict-related events across 250+ sources. We query 5 thematic categories (war/military, sanctions, coups/protests, territorial disputes, nuclear/arms) and attribute articles to countries via entity recognition. Severity levels (CRITICAL, HIGH, ELEVATED, WATCH) are based on 24-hour article volume. Data refreshes hourly from the Cloudflare edge.
Polymarket coverage reflects the degree to which a country's political trajectory features contested outcomes that sophisticated bettors believe have material financial implications. Higher attention doesn't necessarily mean instability; it means uncertainty about outcomes that matter to global capital markets. Coverage is geographically uneven.
DeepSeek generates a one-sentence intelligence brief per country twice daily (8 AM LA / 8 AM Berlin), combining Polymarket questions, probabilities, GDELT conflict headlines, and financial market stress signals. Style follows RANE briefs: direct, specific, naming actors and probabilities where available.
Global financial market data from yfinance (67 equity indices, 150+ currencies, 28 commodity futures, 12 bond yields) plus CNBC frontier indices. Per-country stress scores use IMF-validated variance-normalized z-scores across equity returns, currency depreciation, and commodity export exposure. Score > 2.0 = significant financial stress. Data refreshes every 30 minutes.
Unfiltered military aircraft positions aggregated from adsb.lol, airplanes.live, and adsb.one — community ADS-B networks that retain military and government transponders hidden by commercial trackers. Updated daily.
AIS positions from aisstream.io filtered for military vessels across 8 key maritime regions. Carrier strike group and amphibious ready group positions from USNI Fleet Tracker, published weekly.
Active TFRs from FAA GeoServer filtered for security, space operations, VIP movements, and military base restrictions. TFR density indicates elevated operational tempo.