WHITEFLAG

Sovereign Asset Re-Optimization Portal

Bangladesh

BGD

Bangladesh: 170.1 million population; lower-middle-income economy. Exports: textiles, apparel, fish, ceramics; imports: machinery, mineral fuels, chemicals. Parliamentary republic under PM Sheikh Hasina. Garment export powerhouse. Hasina rule ended in 2024 protests; interim government. 1m+ Rohingya refugees. #117 Big Mac Index.

Headline valuation

Enterprise value
$3.69T
Scenario range
$2.45T to $3.79T
Confidence
60.0%
Integration scenario
Contested Integration

Balance sheet

Total assets
$4.44T
Total liabilities
$752.9B
Base enterprise value
$3.69T

Creditor concentration

Risk score (0-100)
17.8
Buyer autonomy
high
Creditor HHI
0.2049

Climate & resources

Climate status
Desperate (Rank 56 of 212, 1 = most desperate)
Water tier
MODERATE
ND-GAIN vulnerability
0.70
ND-GAIN readiness
0.45

Top acquisition targets (Bangladesh as buyer)

Computed by SAPA (Sovereign Acquisition Propensity Algorithm). Higher probability = stronger structural fit for Bangladesh acquiring this target.

  1. Bhutan (BTN): probability 0.14, deal value $38.3B, driver: Political_Risk + Buyer_Volatility(0.79)
  2. Viet Nam (VNM): probability 0.08, deal value $6.25T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Buyer_Volatility(0.79) + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Penalty(4)
  3. Malaysia (MYS): probability 0.08, deal value $7.84T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Distance_Proximal(2589km) + Buyer_Volatility(0.79) + Economic_Size_Penalty(0.50) + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Penalty(4)
  4. Oman (OMN): probability 0.08, deal value $1.20T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Distance_Proximal(3234km) + Buyer_Volatility(0.79) + No_Power_Projection
  5. Qatar (QAT): probability 0.08, deal value $5.29T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Distance_Proximal(3927km) + Buyer_Volatility(0.79) + No_Power_Projection + US_Security_Partner

About this valuation

This valuation is computed monthly by the WHITEFLAG sovereign asset valuation framework, a five-scenario model that prices nations as transferable enterprise units. See the full methodology for the formulas and data sources. The human-capital, industrial and resource bases are blended with the World Bank Changing Wealth of Nations 2020 stock, rescaled onto the framework's computed scale; the land base uses the computed value alone (CWON and the computed value differ by more than 5x).

Sources: CIA World Factbook, World Bank (population, poverty, economic data), IMF World Economic Outlook (economic classification, trade), The Economist Big Mac Index (PPP comparison), Trading Economics (macroeconomic indicators), Official Government Statistical Agencies

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