Bolivia
BOL
Bolivia: 12.2 million population; lower-middle-income economy. Exports: natural gas, minerals, agricultural products; imports: machinery, minerals, vehicles. Presidential republic under President Luis Arce. 36.4% poverty; #122 Big Mac Index.
Headline valuation
Scenario range
$502.2B to $688.6B
Integration scenario
Contested Integration
Balance sheet
Total liabilities
$165.4B
Base enterprise value
$672.8B
Creditor concentration
- Moderate concentration (HHI=0.35)
Climate & resources
Climate status
Desperate (Rank 68 of 212, 1 = most desperate)
ND-GAIN vulnerability
0.60
Top acquisition targets (Bolivia as buyer)
Computed by SAPA (Sovereign Acquisition Propensity Algorithm). Higher probability = stronger structural fit for Bolivia acquiring this target.
- Peru (PER): probability 0.08, deal value $5.79T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Economic_Size_Block(0.13) + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Penalty(4)
- Chile (CHL): probability 0.08, deal value $9.55T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Distance_Proximal(2213km) + Economic_Size_Block(0.07) + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Penalty(4)
- Argentina (ARG): probability 0.07, deal value $8.25T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Distance_Proximal(2422km) + GDP_Penalty(0.12) + Economic_Size_Block(0.08) + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Penalty(4)
- Ecuador (ECU): probability 0.07, deal value $2.02T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Distance_Proximal(2045km) + Economic_Size_Penalty(0.32) + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Penalty(4)
- Colombia (COL): probability 0.07, deal value $7.07T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Distance_Proximal(2244km) + GDP_Penalty(0.15) + Economic_Size_Block(0.09) + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Penalty(4)
About this valuation
This valuation is computed monthly by the WHITEFLAG sovereign asset valuation framework, a five-scenario model
that prices nations as transferable enterprise units. See the
full methodology for the formulas and data sources.
The human-capital, industrial and resource bases are blended with the World Bank Changing Wealth of Nations 2020 stock, rescaled onto the framework's computed scale; the land base uses the computed value alone (CWON and the computed value differ by more than 5x).
Sources: CIA World Factbook, World Bank (population, poverty, economic data), IMF World Economic Outlook (economic classification, trade), The Economist Big Mac Index (PPP comparison), Trading Economics (macroeconomic indicators), Official Government Statistical Agencies