WHITEFLAG

Sovereign Asset Re-Optimization Portal

Colombia

COL

Colombia: 52.1 million population; upper-middle-income economy. Exports: crude oil, coffee, coal; imports: machinery, vehicles, optical instruments. Presidential republic under President Gustavo Petro. Petro government seeking total peace with armed groups. ELN talks ongoing. Major cocaine producer. 27.8% poverty; #84 Big Mac Index.

Headline valuation

Enterprise value
$6.21T
Scenario range
$2.55T – $6.28T
Confidence
60.0%
Integration scenario
Contested Integration

Balance sheet

Total assets
$7.03T
Total liabilities
$674.0B
Base enterprise value
$6.36T

Creditor concentration

Risk score (0-100)
40.8
Buyer autonomy
medium
Creditor HHI
0.6800

Climate & resources

Climate status
CLIMATE_DESPERATE
Water tier
ADEQUATE
ND-GAIN vulnerability
0.56
ND-GAIN readiness
0.58

Top acquisition targets (Colombia as buyer)

Computed by SAPA (Sovereign Acquisition Propensity Algorithm). Higher probability = stronger structural fit for Colombia acquiring this target.

  1. Panama (PAN): probability 0.31, deal value $261.7B, driver: Chokepoint
  2. Ecuador (ECU): probability 0.26, deal value $466.0B, driver: Resources + Captor_Interest(USA)
  3. Aruba (ABW): probability 0.08, deal value $9.6B, driver: Financial_Opportunity
  4. Chile (CHL): probability 0.07, deal value $9.93T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Distance_Proximal(4250km) + Minimal_Projection(4250km)
  5. Peru (PER): probability 0.07, deal value $6.86T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Minimal_Projection(1886km)

About this valuation

This valuation is computed monthly by the WHITEFLAG sovereign asset valuation framework — a five-scenario rigorous model that prices nations as transferable enterprise units. See the full methodology for the formulas and data sources.

Sources: CIA World Factbook, World Bank (population, poverty, economic data), IMF World Economic Outlook (economic classification, trade), The Economist Big Mac Index (PPP comparison), Trading Economics (macroeconomic indicators), Official Government Statistical Agencies

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