Costa Rica
CRI
Costa Rica: 5.3 million population; upper-middle-income economy. Exports: bananas, tropical fruits, seafoo; imports: machinery, vehicles, mineral products. Presidential republic under President Rodrigo Chaves Robles. #81 Big Mac Index.
Headline valuation
Scenario range
$1.66T to $2.07T
Integration scenario
Contested Integration
Balance sheet
Total liabilities
$173.8B
Base enterprise value
$2.05T
Creditor concentration
- High creditor concentration (HHI=0.68)
Climate & resources
Climate status
Vulnerable (Rank 132 of 212, 1 = most desperate)
ND-GAIN vulnerability
0.52
Top acquisition targets (Costa Rica as buyer)
Computed by SAPA (Sovereign Acquisition Propensity Algorithm). Higher probability = stronger structural fit for Costa Rica acquiring this target.
- Guatemala (GTM): probability 0.08, deal value $1.38T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Penalty(4)
- Jamaica (JAM): probability 0.08, deal value $600.4B, driver: Strategic + Resources + No_Power_Projection
- Ecuador (ECU): probability 0.08, deal value $2.03T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Penalty(4)
- Colombia (COL): probability 0.08, deal value $7.10T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Population_Disadvantage(0.10) + Economic_Size_Block(0.21) + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Penalty(4)
- Trinidad and Tobago (TTO): probability 0.07, deal value $340.5B, driver: Strategic + Resources + Distance_Proximal(2468km) + No_Power_Projection
About this valuation
This valuation is computed monthly by the WHITEFLAG sovereign asset valuation framework, a five-scenario model
that prices nations as transferable enterprise units. See the
full methodology for the formulas and data sources.
The human-capital, industrial and land bases are blended with the World Bank Changing Wealth of Nations 2020 stock, rescaled onto the framework's computed scale; the resource base uses the computed value alone (CWON and the computed value differ by more than 5x).
Sources: CIA World Factbook, World Bank (population, poverty, economic data), IMF World Economic Outlook (economic classification, trade), The Economist Big Mac Index (PPP comparison), Trading Economics (macroeconomic indicators), Official Government Statistical Agencies