Grenada

GRD

Grenada: 125,000 population; upper-middle-income economy. Exports: nutmeg, mace, cocoa; imports: machinery, mineral fuels, food. Parliamentary monarchy under PM Dickon Mitchell. 28.2% poverty; #103 Big Mac Index.

Headline valuation

Enterprise value

$21.4B

Scenario range

$17.8B to $21.7B

Confidence

60.0%

Integration scenario

Contested Integration

Balance sheet

Total assets

$23.8B

Total liabilities

$2.4B

Base enterprise value

$21.4B

Creditor concentration

Risk score (0-100)

18.9

Buyer autonomy

high

Creditor HHI

0.2007

Climate & resources

Climate status

Desperate (Rank 90 of 212, 1 = most desperate)

Water tier

MODERATE

ND-GAIN vulnerability

0.58

ND-GAIN readiness

0.48

Top acquisition targets (Grenada as buyer)

Computed by SAPA (Sovereign Acquisition Propensity Algorithm). Higher probability = stronger structural fit for Grenada acquiring this target.

Trinidad and Tobago (TTO): probability 0.10, deal value $333.0B, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Population_Disadvantage(0.09) + GDP_Penalty(0.06) + Economic_Size_Block(0.05) + Absurdity_Filter(8)
Guyana (GUY): probability 0.09, deal value $322.5B, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + GDP_Block(0.044) + Economic_Size_Block(0.06) + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Filter(8)
Suriname (SUR): probability 0.08, deal value $97.9B, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Economic_Size_Block(0.19) + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Filter(8)
Jamaica (JAM): probability 0.08, deal value $587.8B, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Population_Penalty(0.041) + GDP_Penalty(0.06) + Economic_Size_Block(0.04) + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Filter(8)
Colombia (COL): probability 0.07, deal value $6.91T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Population_Block(0.0022) + GDP_Block(0.003) + Economic_Size_Block(0.00) + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Filter(10)

About this valuation

This valuation is computed monthly by the WHITEFLAG sovereign asset valuation framework, a five-scenario model that prices nations as transferable enterprise units. See the full methodology for the formulas and data sources. The asset bases are computed by the framework; this entity is not in the World Bank Changing Wealth of Nations accounts.

Sources: CIA World Factbook, World Bank (population, poverty, economic data), IMF World Economic Outlook (economic classification, trade), The Economist Big Mac Index (PPP comparison), Trading Economics (macroeconomic indicators), Official Government Statistical Agencies

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