Haiti
HTI
Haiti: 11.4 million population; low-income economy. Exports: apparel, oils, cocoa; imports: machinery, mineral fuels, food. Presidential republic under PM Garry Conille. Gang violence controls most of Port-au-Prince. President assassinated 2021. UN-backed Kenyan security mission deployed 2024. 60.0% poverty; #137 Big Mac Index.
Headline valuation
Scenario range
$67.8B to $111.2B
Integration scenario
Contested Integration
Balance sheet
Base enterprise value
$103.5B
Creditor concentration
- High creditor concentration (HHI=0.62)
Climate & resources
Climate status
Desperate (Rank 9 of 212, 1 = most desperate)
ND-GAIN vulnerability
0.73
Top acquisition targets (Haiti as buyer)
Computed by SAPA (Sovereign Acquisition Propensity Algorithm). Higher probability = stronger structural fit for Haiti acquiring this target.
- Jamaica (JAM): probability 0.10, deal value $590.6B, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Buyer_Governance(0.10) + Buyer_Volatility(0.74) + Economic_Size_Penalty(0.26)
- Trinidad and Tobago (TTO): probability 0.08, deal value $335.5B, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Buyer_Governance(0.10) + Buyer_Volatility(0.74) + Economic_Size_Penalty(0.40) + No_Power_Projection
- Guatemala (GTM): probability 0.08, deal value $1.39T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Buyer_Governance(0.10) + Buyer_Volatility(0.74) + Economic_Size_Block(0.11) + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Penalty(4)
- Guyana (GUY): probability 0.08, deal value $324.0B, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Distance_Proximal(2014km) + Buyer_Governance(0.10) + Buyer_Volatility(0.74) + Economic_Size_Penalty(0.41) + No_Power_Projection
- Suriname (SUR): probability 0.08, deal value $98.6B, driver: Strategic + Resources + Distance_Proximal(2337km) + Buyer_Governance(0.10) + Buyer_Volatility(0.74) + No_Power_Projection
About this valuation
This valuation is computed monthly by the WHITEFLAG sovereign asset valuation framework, a five-scenario model
that prices nations as transferable enterprise units. See the
full methodology for the formulas and data sources.
The human-capital, industrial and land bases are blended with the World Bank Changing Wealth of Nations 2020 stock, rescaled onto the framework's computed scale; the resource base uses the computed value alone (CWON has no value).
Sources: CIA World Factbook, World Bank (population, poverty, economic data), IMF World Economic Outlook (economic classification, trade), The Economist Big Mac Index (PPP comparison), Trading Economics (macroeconomic indicators), Official Government Statistical Agencies