WHITEFLAG

Sovereign Asset Re-Optimization Portal

Iran, Islamic Rep.

IRN

Iran, Islamic Rep.: 88.0 million population; upper-middle-income economy. Exports: crude oil, mineral fuels, chemicals; imports: machinery, vehicles, optical instruments. Islamic republic. Under comprehensive US sanctions (reimposed 2018) and EU restrictions. Nuclear program advancing post-JCPOA. Regional power backing Hezbollah, Hamas, Houthis. #123 Big Mac Index.

Headline valuation

Enterprise value
$9.44T
Scenario range
$4.08T – $9.60T
Confidence
83.5%
Integration scenario
Hostile Occupation

Balance sheet

Total assets
$10.62T
Total liabilities
$851.3B
Base enterprise value
$9.77T

Creditor concentration

Risk score (0-100)
40.8
Buyer autonomy
medium
Creditor HHI
0.6800

Climate & resources

Climate status
CLIMATE_DESPERATE
Water tier
CRITICAL
ND-GAIN vulnerability
0.59
ND-GAIN readiness
0.50

Top acquisition targets (Iran, Islamic Rep. as buyer)

Computed by SAPA (Sovereign Acquisition Propensity Algorithm). Higher probability = stronger structural fit for Iran, Islamic Rep. acquiring this target.

  1. Turkmenistan (TKM): probability 0.23, deal value $88.0B, driver: Climate_Desperation(1.00)
  2. Jordan (JOR): probability 0.20, deal value $92.2B, driver: Climate_Desperation(1.00)
  3. Oman (OMN): probability 0.19, deal value $271.2B, driver: Financial_Opportunity
  4. Bangladesh (BGD): probability 0.18, deal value $569.6B, driver: Climate_Desperation(1.00) + Distance_Proximal(3962km)
  5. Lebanon (LBN): probability 0.17, deal value $22.8B, driver: Climate_Desperation(1.00)

About this valuation

This valuation is computed monthly by the WHITEFLAG sovereign asset valuation framework — a five-scenario rigorous model that prices nations as transferable enterprise units. See the full methodology for the formulas and data sources.

Sources: CIA World Factbook, World Bank (population, poverty, economic data), IMF World Economic Outlook (economic classification, trade), The Economist Big Mac Index (PPP comparison), Trading Economics (macroeconomic indicators), Official Government Statistical Agencies

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