WHITEFLAG

Sovereign Asset Re-Optimization Portal

Iraq

IRQ

Iraq: 43.5 million population; lower-middle-income economy. Exports: crude oil, mineral fuels, machinery; imports: machinery, mineral fuels, food. Federal parliamentary republic under PM Mohammed Shia Al Sudani. Post-ISIS reconstruction ongoing. Iran-backed militias powerful. Oil revenue critical. #108 Big Mac Index.

Headline valuation

Enterprise value
$4.02T
Scenario range
$3.33T – $4.07T
Confidence
60.0%
Integration scenario
Contested Integration

Balance sheet

Total assets
$4.52T
Total liabilities
$402.9B
Base enterprise value
$4.12T

Creditor concentration

Risk score (0-100)
40.8
Buyer autonomy
medium
Creditor HHI
0.6800

Climate & resources

Climate status
CLIMATE_DESPERATE
Water tier
STRESSED
ND-GAIN vulnerability
0.66
ND-GAIN readiness
0.42

Top acquisition targets (Iraq as buyer)

Computed by SAPA (Sovereign Acquisition Propensity Algorithm). Higher probability = stronger structural fit for Iraq acquiring this target.

  1. Oman (OMN): probability 0.26, deal value $341.2B, driver: Human_Capital
  2. Turkmenistan (TKM): probability 0.25, deal value $159.4B, driver: Financial_Opportunity
  3. Lebanon (LBN): probability 0.23, deal value $41.3B, driver: Financial_Opportunity
  4. Jordan (JOR): probability 0.20, deal value $166.7B, driver: Human_Capital
  5. Kuwait (KWT): probability 0.20, deal value $1.80T, driver: Resources + Human_Capital + US_Security_Partner

About this valuation

This valuation is computed monthly by the WHITEFLAG sovereign asset valuation framework — a five-scenario rigorous model that prices nations as transferable enterprise units. See the full methodology for the formulas and data sources.

Sources: CIA World Factbook, World Bank (population, poverty, economic data), IMF World Economic Outlook (economic classification, trade), The Economist Big Mac Index (PPP comparison), Trading Economics (macroeconomic indicators), Official Government Statistical Agencies

← View Iraq on the interactive globe