St. Lucia
LCA
St. Lucia: 184,000 population; upper-middle-income economy. Exports: petroleum products, food, machinery; imports: machinery, mineral fuels, food. Parliamentary constitutional monarchy under PM Philip. #86 Big Mac Index.
Headline valuation
Scenario range
$56.2B to $63.2B
Integration scenario
Contested Integration
Balance sheet
Base enterprise value
$62.7B
Climate & resources
Climate status
Desperate (Rank 115 of 212, 1 = most desperate)
ND-GAIN vulnerability
0.55
Top acquisition targets (St. Lucia as buyer)
Computed by SAPA (Sovereign Acquisition Propensity Algorithm). Higher probability = stronger structural fit for St. Lucia acquiring this target.
- Trinidad and Tobago (TTO): probability 0.10, deal value $333.0B, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + GDP_Penalty(0.10) + Economic_Size_Block(0.15) + Absurdity_Filter(8)
- Guyana (GUY): probability 0.08, deal value $322.5B, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + GDP_Penalty(0.08) + Economic_Size_Block(0.15) + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Filter(8)
- Suriname (SUR): probability 0.08, deal value $97.9B, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Filter(8)
- Jamaica (JAM): probability 0.08, deal value $587.8B, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Population_Disadvantage(0.06) + GDP_Penalty(0.12) + Economic_Size_Block(0.10) + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Filter(8)
- Colombia (COL): probability 0.07, deal value $6.91T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Population_Block(0.0034) + GDP_Block(0.005) + Economic_Size_Block(0.01) + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Filter(10)
About this valuation
This valuation is computed monthly by the WHITEFLAG sovereign asset valuation framework, a five-scenario model
that prices nations as transferable enterprise units. See the
full methodology for the formulas and data sources.
The human-capital, industrial and land bases are blended with the World Bank Changing Wealth of Nations 2020 stock, rescaled onto the framework's computed scale; the resource base uses the computed value alone (CWON has no value).
Sources: CIA World Factbook, World Bank (population, poverty, economic data), IMF World Economic Outlook (economic classification, trade), The Economist Big Mac Index (PPP comparison), Trading Economics (macroeconomic indicators), Official Government Statistical Agencies