WHITEFLAG

Sovereign Asset Re-Optimization Portal

Mexico

MEX

Mexico: 128.3 million population; upper-middle-income economy. Exports: vehicles, machinery, mineral fuels; imports: machinery, mineral fuels, optical instruments. Presidential republic under President Claudia Sheinbaum. USMCA partner. Nearshoring beneficiary. Cartel violence endemic. Sheinbaum government (2024). 36.3% poverty; #83 Big Mac Index.

Headline valuation

Enterprise value
$27.18T
Scenario range
$16.95T to $27.97T
Confidence
80.2%
Integration scenario
Hostile Occupation

Balance sheet

Total assets
$31.55T
Total liabilities
$4.37T
Base enterprise value
$27.18T

Creditor concentration

Risk score (0-100)
43.4
Buyer autonomy
medium
Creditor HHI
0.6704

Climate & resources

Climate status
Vulnerable (Rank 129 of 212, 1 = most desperate)
Water tier
STRESSED
ND-GAIN vulnerability
0.53
ND-GAIN readiness
0.58

Top acquisition targets (Mexico as buyer)

Computed by SAPA (Sovereign Acquisition Propensity Algorithm). Higher probability = stronger structural fit for Mexico acquiring this target.

  1. Chile (CHL): probability 0.07, deal value $9.62T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Distance_Regional(6613km) + Minimal_Projection(6613km)
  2. Viet Nam (VNM): probability 0.07, deal value $6.24T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Distance_Hemispheric(14763km) + Minimal_Projection(14763km)
  3. Peru (PER): probability 0.07, deal value $5.82T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Distance_Proximal(4258km) + Minimal_Projection(4258km)
  4. Indonesia (IDN): probability 0.07, deal value $17.81T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Distance_Hemispheric(16847km) + Minimal_Projection(16847km)
  5. Qatar (QAT): probability 0.06, deal value $5.21T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Distance_Hemispheric(14115km) + Minimal_Projection(14115km) + US_Security_Partner

About this valuation

This valuation is computed monthly by the WHITEFLAG sovereign asset valuation framework, a five-scenario model that prices nations as transferable enterprise units. See the full methodology for the formulas and data sources. The human-capital, industrial, land and resource bases are blended with the World Bank Changing Wealth of Nations 2020 stock, rescaled onto the framework's computed scale.

Sources: CIA World Factbook, World Bank (population, poverty, economic data), IMF World Economic Outlook (economic classification, trade), The Economist Big Mac Index (PPP comparison), Trading Economics (macroeconomic indicators), Official Government Statistical Agencies

← View Mexico on the interactive globe