Pakistan
PAK
Pakistan: 240.5 million population; lower-middle-income economy. Exports: textiles, apparel, rice; imports: machinery, mineral fuels, chemicals. Federal parliamentary republic under PM Muhammad Shehbaz Sharif. IMF program country with persistent fiscal crisis. Nuclear state. TTP insurgency in border regions. Kashmir dispute with India. #125 Big Mac Index.
Headline valuation
Scenario range
$2.14T – $3.06T
Integration scenario
Hostile Occupation
Balance sheet
Total liabilities
$624.2B
Base enterprise value
$2.94T
Creditor concentration
- High creditor concentration (HHI=0.47)
- Strategic collateral leverage (2.5×)
Climate & resources
Climate status
Desperate (Rank 51 of 212, 1 = most desperate)
ND-GAIN vulnerability
0.69
Top acquisition targets (Pakistan as buyer)
Computed by SAPA (Sovereign Acquisition Propensity Algorithm). Higher probability = stronger structural fit for Pakistan acquiring this target.
- Turkmenistan (TKM): probability 0.63, deal value $60.0B, driver: Strategic + Resources + Climate_Desperation(1.00)
- Afghanistan (AFG): probability 0.53, deal value $22.8B, driver: Resources + Climate_Desperation(1.00)
- Tajikistan (TJK): probability 0.52, deal value $27.0B, driver: Resources + Climate_Desperation(1.00)
- Mongolia (MNG): probability 0.45, deal value $68.6B, driver: Strategic + Resources + Climate_Desperation(1.00) + Distance_Proximal(3477km)
- Congo, Dem. Rep. (COD): probability 0.44, deal value $63.0B, driver: Strategic + Resources + Water_Arbitrage + Climate_Desperation(1.00) + Distance_Regional(7221km)
About this valuation
This valuation is computed monthly by the WHITEFLAG sovereign asset valuation framework — a five-scenario rigorous model
that prices nations as transferable enterprise units. See the
full methodology for the formulas and data sources.
Sources: CIA World Factbook, World Bank (population, poverty, economic data), IMF World Economic Outlook (economic classification, trade), The Economist Big Mac Index (PPP comparison), Trading Economics (macroeconomic indicators), Official Government Statistical Agencies