Uzbekistan
UZB
Uzbekistan: 36.5 million population; lower-middle-income economy. Exports: mineral fuels, metals, machinery; imports: machinery, mineral fuels, chemicals. Presidential autocracy under President Shavkat Mirziyoyev. #129 Big Mac Index.
Headline valuation
Scenario range
$800.0B – $1.15T
Integration scenario
Contested Integration
Balance sheet
Total liabilities
$141.4B
Base enterprise value
$1.13T
Creditor concentration
- High creditor concentration (HHI=0.47)
Climate & resources
Climate status
Desperate (Rank 83 of 212, 1 = most desperate)
ND-GAIN vulnerability
0.58
Top acquisition targets (Uzbekistan as buyer)
Computed by SAPA (Sovereign Acquisition Propensity Algorithm). Higher probability = stronger structural fit for Uzbekistan acquiring this target.
- Tajikistan (TJK): probability 0.48, deal value $38.9B, driver: Strategic + Resources
- Afghanistan (AFG): probability 0.41, deal value $32.4B, driver: Strategic + Resources
- Kyrgyz Republic (KGZ): probability 0.38, deal value $30.5B, driver: Financial_Opportunity
- Gabon (GAB): probability 0.10, deal value $388.9B, driver: Strategic + Resources + Water_Arbitrage + Distance_Regional(7509km) + Minimal_Projection(7509km) + Captor_Interest(FRA)
- Malaysia (MYS): probability 0.10, deal value $9.17T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Water_Arbitrage + Distance_Regional(5337km) + Economic_Size_Block(0.12) + Minimal_Projection(5337km)
About this valuation
This valuation is computed monthly by the WHITEFLAG sovereign asset valuation framework — a five-scenario rigorous model
that prices nations as transferable enterprise units. See the
full methodology for the formulas and data sources.
Sources: CIA World Factbook, World Bank (population, poverty, economic data), IMF World Economic Outlook (economic classification, trade), The Economist Big Mac Index (PPP comparison), Trading Economics (macroeconomic indicators), Official Government Statistical Agencies