Yemen, Rep.

YEM

Yemen, Rep.: 34.5 million population; low-income economy. Exports: mineral fuels, machinery; imports: machinery, mineral fuels, food. Presidential republic (contested). Fragile ceasefire after civil war. Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping (2023-24) triggered US/UK military response. 78.5% poverty; #141 Big Mac Index.

Headline valuation

Enterprise value

$111.2B

Scenario range

$103.8B to $112.7B

Confidence

60.0%

Integration scenario

Contested Integration

Balance sheet

Total assets

$123.2B

Total liabilities

$12.0B

Base enterprise value

$111.2B

Creditor concentration

Risk score (0-100)

24.4

Buyer autonomy

high

Creditor HHI

0.1940

Climate & resources

Climate status

Desperate (Rank 2 of 212, 1 = most desperate)

Water tier

CRITICAL

ND-GAIN vulnerability

0.74

ND-GAIN readiness

0.22

Top acquisition targets (Yemen, Rep. as buyer)

Computed by SAPA (Sovereign Acquisition Propensity Algorithm). Higher probability = stronger structural fit for Yemen, Rep. acquiring this target.

Malaysia (MYS): probability 0.11, deal value $7.74T, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Water_Arbitrage + Distance_Regional(6433km) + Buyer_Governance(0.12) + Buyer_Volatility(1.00) + GDP_Block(0.014) + Economic_Size_Block(0.01) + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Filter(7)
Congo, Rep. (COG): probability 0.10, deal value $294.4B, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Water_Arbitrage + Distance_Proximal(3862km) + Buyer_Governance(0.12) + Buyer_Volatility(1.00) + Economic_Size_Block(0.24) + No_Power_Projection + Captor_Interest(FRA) + Absurdity_Penalty(4)
Gabon (GAB): probability 0.10, deal value $353.4B, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Water_Arbitrage + Distance_Proximal(4163km) + Buyer_Governance(0.12) + Buyer_Volatility(1.00) + Economic_Size_Block(0.20) + No_Power_Projection + Captor_Interest(FRA) + Absurdity_Penalty(4)
Guyana (GUY): probability 0.10, deal value $322.4B, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Water_Arbitrage + Distance_Intercontinental(11119km) + Buyer_Governance(0.12) + Buyer_Volatility(1.00) + Economic_Size_Penalty(0.31) + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Penalty(5)
Papua New Guinea (PNG): probability 0.10, deal value $548.6B, driver: Strategic + Resources + Human_Capital + Water_Arbitrage + Distance_Intercontinental(11666km) + Buyer_Governance(0.12) + Buyer_Volatility(1.00) + Economic_Size_Block(0.18) + No_Power_Projection + Absurdity_Filter(6)

About this valuation

This valuation is computed monthly by the WHITEFLAG sovereign asset valuation framework, a five-scenario model that prices nations as transferable enterprise units. See the full methodology for the formulas and data sources. The asset bases are computed by the framework; this entity is not in the World Bank Changing Wealth of Nations accounts.

Sources: CIA World Factbook, World Bank (population, poverty, economic data), IMF World Economic Outlook (economic classification, trade), The Economist Big Mac Index (PPP comparison), Trading Economics (macroeconomic indicators), Official Government Statistical Agencies

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